Backgammon Strategy Community Analysis 022
Community Analysis features interesting positions and comments from our Facebook group “Backgammon Strategy”. Join now for more!
What’s the Correct Move?
Here is what the author (John Georgiou) says about the position:
“From My StreamChamps match with Nick Blasier
I really thought hard about this recube, I thought that the score implications meant it would be a take and I was worried about getting an 8 cube back if things went awry
16/36 rolls leave a shot
What would your cube action be ?”
Community Comments
Finn Dixon:
“He needs 11% to take this. If 16 rolls leave a shot and he only hits 1/3 of the time so let’s say that 6 / 36 times where he is then 50% win chance. So that’s 3/36. I think he has less than 10% and so a drop. So a nice redouble I reckon.”
Jaime Weinstein:
“Keep the cube. Like you said, the score dictates the action. You go into a Crawford game if you win this one and then you only have to win 1 out of the next 4 games to win the match (presuming no gammons).”
David Gallagher:
“Just need to consider the 'taker's' decision here..
Pass: 6a1a crawford for 11% MWC
Take (for the match): MWC = GWC = 16/36 x about 1/3 x about 1/2 = less than 10%
So RD/P”
The Solution
